Almanya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen ekonomik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015flar\u0131ndan Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (Ifo), \u00fclkenin bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini, zay\u0131f yat\u0131r\u0131m ve t\u00fcketici duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131 nedeniyle a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize etti.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Merkezi M\u00fcnih\u2019te bulunan Ifo, Almanya ekonomisine ili\u015fkin Aral\u0131k 2024\u2019te payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 2025-2026\u2019y\u0131 kapsayan b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinde g\u00fcncelleme yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Buna g\u00f6re Enstit\u00fc, bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in gayrisafi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131la (GSYH) b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 0,4\u2019ten y\u00fczde 0,2\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Ifo, Alman ekonomisinin 2026\u2019da ise y\u00fczde 0,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00dclkede ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,2 ve \u015fubatta y\u00fczde 2,3 olan y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun bu y\u0131l ortalama y\u00fczde 2,3 olmas\u0131n\u0131, 2026\u2019da da y\u00fczde 2\u2019ye kadar d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ifo raporunda, \u00fclkede i\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re hafif artarak 2 milyon 787 binden 2 milyon 889 bine y\u00fckselece\u011fi ve gelecek y\u0131l tekrar 2 milyon 791 bine d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi tahmin edildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n 2025\u2019te y\u00fczde 6\u2019dan y\u00fczde 6,2\u2019ye y\u00fckselece\u011fi ve 2026\u2019da y\u00fczde 6\u2019ya inece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen raporda, istihdam edilen ki\u015fi say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ise bu y\u0131l 46 milyon 82 binden 46 milyon 60 bine inece\u011fi tahminlerine yer verildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ifo, Alman kamu sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 118,8 milyar avro olan b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n, bu y\u0131l 93 milyar avroya inmesi ve gelecek y\u0131l yeniden 107,8 milyar avroya y\u00fckselmesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ALMANYA EKONOM\u0130S\u0130NDE BEL\u0130RS\u0130ZL\u0130K VE DARALMA S\u0130NYALLER\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 248,7 milyar euro olan \u00fclkenin cari i\u015flemler fazlas\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l 187,8 milyar avroya inece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen raporda, s\u00f6z konusu fazlan\u0131n 2026\u2019da 165,7 milyar avroya d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ifo\u2019nun tahminlerine g\u00f6re, y\u00fcksek faizler nedeniyle zor durumdaki in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u00fcretim bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,3 daralacak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Enstit\u00fcn\u00fcn raporunda, \u201cAlman ekonomisi s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda, Yap\u0131sal de\u011fi\u015fim ve belirsizlik sanayi faaliyetlerini ve t\u00fcketici ekonomisini felce u\u011frat\u0131yor.\u201d ifadeleri yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ekonominin neredeyse t\u00fcm sekt\u00f6rlerindeki \u015firketlerin sipari\u015f s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131ndan yak\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yer verilen raporda, \u201cAlmanya\u2019da ekonomi politikas\u0131n\u0131n gidi\u015fat\u0131 ve jeopolitik ortama ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir belirsizlik s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011fundan, sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine ve faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesine ra\u011fmen i\u00e7 talep zay\u0131f kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.\u201d denildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ALMAN EKONOM\u0130S\u0130 ZORLUKLARLA Y\u00dcZLE\u015e\u0130YOR: \u015e\u0130RKETLER YATIRIM YAPMAKTA \u0130STEKS\u0130Z<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ifo \u0130\u015f D\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc Ara\u015ft\u0131rma ve Ekonomik Tahmin M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Timo Wollmershaeuser, konuya ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmesinde, \u201cAlman ekonomisi yerinde say\u0131yor. Sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcndeki toparlanmaya ra\u011fmen t\u00fcketici duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalmaya devam ediyor ve \u015firketler de yat\u0131r\u0131m yapma konusunda isteksiz.\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wollmershaeuser, g\u00fcvenilir bir ekonomi politikas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcven olu\u015fturmak ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 te\u015fvik etmek i\u00e7in hayati \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, \u201c\u015eirketler, \u00f6zellikle de sanayideki yap\u0131sal de\u011fi\u015fimin olu\u015fturdu\u011fu mevcut zorluklar g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, planlama kesinli\u011fine ihtiya\u00e7 duyuyor.\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ALMAN EKONOM\u0130S\u0130 \u0130K\u0130NC\u0130 YILDA DA DARALDI: YAPISAL SORUNLAR DEVAM ED\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alman ekonomisi, b\u00f6lgedeki di\u011fer \u00fclkelere oranla daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir rol oynayan imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki kal\u0131c\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131k nedeniyle k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruyor. Ekonomi, 2024\u2019\u00fcn tamam\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,2 geriledi. \u00c7in ile artan rekabet ve yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131n ekonomiyi frenlemesiyle art arda ikinci y\u0131l k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme ya\u015fand\u0131. Ekonomi, 2023\u2019te y\u00fczde 0,3 daralm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Almanya Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Bundesbank) ekonomiye ili\u015fkin 24 \u015eubat\u2019ta yay\u0131mlanan raporunda, kurulacak koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin zorlu ekonomik ortamda g\u00f6reve ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret edilerek, temel e\u011filim a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Alman ekonomisinin, durgunluk i\u00e7inde s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131p kalmaya devam etti\u011fi aktar\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Almanya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen ekonomik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015flar\u0131ndan Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (Ifo), \u00fclkenin bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini, zay\u0131f yat\u0131r\u0131m ve t\u00fcketici<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":59077,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[8],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.senolkaan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59076"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.senolkaan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.senolkaan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.senolkaan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.senolkaan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59076"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.senolkaan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59076\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":59078,"href":"https:\/\/www.senolkaan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59076\/revisions\/59078"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.senolkaan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59077"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.senolkaan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59076"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.senolkaan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59076"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.senolkaan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59076"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}